An Integrated Approach for Evaluating Climate Change Risks: A Case Study in Suriname

This paper combines long-term state-of-the-art climate projections and indices to provide detailed insights into the future of Suriname facilitate comprehensive information areas sectors at high risk for political decision-making. The study analyses Suriname’s historical (1990–2014) provides three time horizons (2020–2044, 2045–2069, 2070–2094) two emissions scenarios (intermediate/SSP2-4.5 severe/SSP5-8.5). Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) modeling is used analyze changes in sea level, temperature, precipitation, relative humidity, winds. In addition, impact chains were produced country’s four most important socio-economic sectors: agriculture fisheries, forestry, water, infrastructure. Results show temperature expected increase all regions timeframes, reaching warming up 6 °C southern region (2070–2094). Projections point towards a reduction precipitation southwest coastal rise mean level. Regarding risk, Paramaribo Wanica face highest risk. Coronie Nickerie least These remain vulnerable both SSP2-4.5 SSP5-8.5 scenarios, but overall values their substantially over time.